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EPE projects higher Brazilian fuel demand in 2026 and 2027

EPE’s October outlook puts 2026 diesel demand at 72.4 billion litres and Otto-cycle fuel consumption at 64.8 billion litres of gasoline equivalent.

Newsverum · Source brief1 min read

Event / data period: 2026-10

Published: · Updated:

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Brazil’s Energy Research Office (EPE), in an outlook published on 19 October, projected additional demand for liquid fuels and liquefied petroleum gas of 3.0 billion litres in 2026 and a further 4.2 billion litres in 2027. It cited economic activity, labour-market conditions and disposable income among factors expected to support consumption.

EPE forecast 2026 diesel demand of 72.4 billion litres and Otto-cycle fuel consumption of 64.8 billion litres in gasoline-equivalent terms. It expects aviation kerosene demand to exceed 7.5 billion litres in 2027, above the previous historical record set in 2014. These are projections, not recorded consumption.

Data

Table

EPE fuel-demand forecasts

Forecasts in EPE’s October 2026 short-term outlook for the Brazilian fuel market.

Additional liquid fuels and LPG demand20263
Additional liquid fuels and LPG demand20274.2
Diesel demand202672.4
Otto-cycle fuels, gasoline equivalent202664.8
Aviation kerosene demand (above this level)20277.5
Methodology

Forecasts published by EPE, retaining the fuel type, period and units stated in the source; these are not realized consumption.

Updated:

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