NewsUNHCR estimates Ukrainian refugees contributed 2.4% of Poland’s GDP in 2025
A third Deloitte study prepared for UNHCR and released on 1 October put the contribution at about PLN 94 billion; refugee employment rose from 69% to 76% in a year.
Event / data period: 2025
Published: · Updated:
IllustrationA third Deloitte economic-impact study for UNHCR estimates that the presence of refugees from Ukraine generated an amount equal to 2.4% of Poland’s GDP in 2025, or about PLN 94 billion. The publication characterizes the result as an economic-impact estimate.
It says the refugee employment rate rose from 69% in 2024 to 76% in 2025. Among refugee households surveyed, 87% named work, self-employment or similar activity as their main income source; this describes survey respondents, not every household. The study says its modelling found no negative effect on Polish workers’ employment or wages.
Data
Economic participation of Ukrainian refugees in Poland
2025 economic-impact and labour indicators in Deloitte’s study for UNHCR.
- Estimated GDP contribution
- 2.4 percent
- 2025 · Estimate
- Estimated economic impact
- 94 billion PLN
- 2025 · Estimate
- Refugee employment rate
- 69 percent
- 2024 · Observed
- Refugee employment rate
- 76 percent
- 2025 · Observed
- Surveyed households naming work or self-employment as main income
- 87 percent
- 2025 · Observed
- Increase in median net pay
- 45 percent
- 2023 — 2025 · Observed
Methodology
GDP impact is modelled; employment rates are reported annual indicators. Household income applies to survey respondents; the net-pay increase compares 2023–2025.
Updated:
Subjects and places
Subject proposals
- economySuggested
- Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate onlywww.unhcr.org ↗
- employmentSuggested
- Subject suggested from the title or summary: employmentwww.unhcr.org ↗
- labor marketSuggested
- Subject suggested from the title or summary: employmentwww.unhcr.org ↗
Geographic references
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- Poland · Poland · Place role: Coverage · Place type: Country or area · Location precision: RegionalEvidence
- Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferredwww.unhcr.org ↗