UNEP says temporary 1.5°C overshoot is likely
UNEP’s Limiting Overshoot report expects warming to cross 1.5°C in the next few years and examines pathways to limit and reverse the overshoot.
Event / data period: 2026-09-02
Published: · Updated:
The UN Environment Programme’s Limiting Overshoot report, released on 2 September, says global warming is likely to cross the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C level within the next few years. It argues that the magnitude and duration of the overshoot should be kept as small as possible.
The agency’s release says the report’s best-case scenario limits peak warming to 1.8°C, while other scenarios exceed 2°C. These are modelled pathways, not measured future outcomes.
Data
Source-reported figure
Measurement or forecast published by the official source.
- Peak warming in UNEP best-case scenario
- 1.8 °C
- 2026-09-02 · Forecast
Methodology
Stores the source-reported value and period without conversion or an independent forecast.
Updated:
Subjects and places
Subject proposals
- Climate changeSuggested
- Subject suggested from the title or summary: 1.5°Cwww.unep.org ↗