South Sudan forecast points to uneven rainfall from 14 to 21 October
The South Sudan Meteorological Services forecast expects more than 100 mm in several counties and less than 30 mm across most other areas.
Event / data period:
Published: · Updated:
CLiMIS published the South Sudan Meteorological Services’ (SSMS) rainfall outlook for 14–21 October on 15 October. The bulletin, derived from weekly forecasts by IGAD’s Climate Prediction and Applications Centre, expects more than 100 mm in Kaji-Keji, northern Tambura, southwestern Wau and southern Raja. It forecasts 50–100 mm in parts of Torit and Magwi and parts of Juba, Kajo-Keji, Lainya, Yei and Morobo.
The bulletin also places most of Western Equatoria, much of Wau and Raja, Aweil Centre and East, Abyei, Twic, Rubkona, Maiwut, parts of Ayod and Akobo, and parts of Pibor in the 50–100 mm band; most other areas are expected to receive less than 30 mm. These are forecasts for 14–21 October, not observed rainfall totals. SSMS says heavier rainfall could support crops, pasture and livestock water, while also raising localized flooding, erosion and waterlogging risks.
Data
14–21 October rainfall forecast
South Sudan Meteorological Services’ expected total rainfall bands by county and area; these are forecasts, not observed measurements.
| More than 100 mm | Kaji-Keji; northern Tambura; southwestern Wau; southern Raja |
| 50–100 mm | Parts of Torit, Magwi, Juba, Kajo-Keji, Lainya, Yei, Morobo, Western Equatoria, Wau, Raja, Aweil Centre and East, Abyei, Twic, Rubkona, Maiwut, Ayod, Akobo and Pibor |
| Under 30 mm | Most other parts of South Sudan |
Methodology
The bulletin’s rainfall-category thresholds and geographic coverage are transcribed from its map description. The service says the forecast is derived from ICPAC weekly forecasts; local totals were not independently calculated.
Updated:
Subjects and places
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- AgricultureSuggested
- Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate onlyclimis-southsudan.org ↗
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- South Sudan · Place role: Coverage · Place type: Country or area · Location precision: RegionalEvidence
- Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferredclimis-southsudan.org ↗