IMF staff project Mexico GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026
Mexico’s finance ministry says the IMF staff outlook sees growth strengthening to 1.8% in 2027 after completing an Article IV mission.
Event / data period: 2026-10-02
Published: · Updated:
Mexico’s finance ministry said IMF staff projected real GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027 after completing the Fund’s 2026 Article IV mission. The ministry’s October 2 release described the outlook as strengthening, supported in part by external trade.
The SHCP statement also relayed staff views on fiscal consolidation, financial-system resilience and inflation near the central bank’s target. The IMF statement was still listed as pending on the ministry page when reviewed, so these findings are reported as SHCP’s account of the staff mission, not a completed IMF Board assessment.
Data
IMF staff growth projections for Mexico
Real GDP growth projections attributed to IMF staff by Mexico’s finance ministry after the 2026 Article IV mission.
- 2026 real GDP growth projection
- 1.5 percent
- 2026 · Forecast
- 2027 real GDP growth projection
- 1.8 percent
- 2027 · Forecast
Methodology
Rates are real GDP projections attributed to IMF staff in SHCP’s October 2, 2026 release; they are not a final Executive Board assessment.
Updated:
Subjects and places
Subject proposals
- Economic growthSuggested
- Subject suggested from the title or summary: GDP growth, sees growthwww.gob.mx ↗
Geographic references
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- Mexico · Place role: Coverage · Place type: Country or area · Location precision: RegionalEvidence
- Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferredwww.gob.mx ↗