Economy / WORLD

China’s economy grew 4.5% year on year in Q3

China’s National Bureau of Statistics said GDP grew 4.6% year on year in the first three quarters at constant prices. Third-quarter growth was 4.5% year on year and 1.2% quarter on quarter.

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GDP reached 107,107.1 billion yuan in the first three quarters. Value added in services rose 5.2% year on year, compared with 3.8% in the secondary sector and 3.7% in the primary sector. The figures were published as preliminary estimates.

Third-quarter growth exceeded the 4.3% year-on-year rate in the second quarter; growth had been 5.0% in the first quarter. The quarter-on-quarter figure is seasonally adjusted, while annual GDP growth is measured at constant prices.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics said on 19 October that industrial value added at designated-size firms rose 5.3% year on year in January–September. High-tech manufacturing increased 14.3%. Value added in equipment manufacturing grew 10.2% over the same period, 4.9 percentage points faster than overall industrial growth. Growth rates are calculated at comparable prices. By product, output of 3D-printing devices rose 62.5%, lithium-ion batteries 39.5% and industrial robots 29.1%. The bureau’s industrial series covers enterprises above its designated-size threshold.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics reported on 19 October that fixed-asset investment excluding rural households fell 7.2% year on year in January–September 2026. Excluding property development, it declined 4.2%. The reported total was 33,411.5 billion yuan. The bureau said the year-on-year decline was unchanged from the January–August reading; investment rose 0.07% month on month in September after seasonal adjustment. Investment in high-tech industries increased 4.9%, while investment in information services rose 20.2%. Annual rates are calculated on a comparable basis. The release defines fixed-asset investment as completed construction and acquisition activity and related costs during the period.

Data

Key figures

GDP growth rate

Real growth in Q3 and the first nine months of 2026

GDP, year-on-year change
4.5 percent
2026-07 — 2026-09 · Estimate
GDP, quarter-on-quarter change
1.2 percent
2026-07 — 2026-09 · Estimate
Methodology

NBS preliminary estimate; annual rates at constant prices, quarterly rate seasonally adjusted.

Updated:

Key figures

Industry and high-tech manufacturing

Year-on-year growth in January–September

Industrial enterprises above designated size
5.3 percent
2026-01 — 2026-09 · Observed
High-tech manufacturing
14.3 percent
2026-01 — 2026-09 · Observed
Methodology

NBS industrial value-added data; growth at comparable prices for enterprises above the designated-size threshold.

Updated:

Key figures

Fixed-asset investment, year-on-year change

Percentage changes in fixed-asset investment in January–September 2026

Fixed-asset investment, year-on-year change
-7.2 percent
2026-01 — 2026-09 · Observed
Investment excluding real-estate development
-4.2 percent
2026-01 — 2026-09 · Observed
Methodology

NBS cumulative fixed-asset investment series excluding rural households, calculated on a comparable basis.

Updated:

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