Florida orange crop forecast 23% lower for 2026/27
USDA’s October forecast puts Florida orange production at 10 million boxes, with declines projected for both Valencia and non-Valencia oranges.
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A 9 October forecast from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service put Florida’s total orange production for the 2026/27 season at 10 million boxes. That is 23% below final production in 2025/26 and comprises 3 million boxes of non-Valencia oranges and 7 million boxes of Valencia oranges.
The non-Valencia forecast is 37% below last season and the Valencia forecast is 14% lower. The report also forecasts grapefruit production of 1.3 million boxes, down 4%; lemons at 950,000 boxes, up 6%; and tangerines and tangelos at 450,000 boxes, down 2%. USDA says its forecasts use fruit counts, tree inventories, fruit-size measurements and fruit-drop surveys.
Data
Florida citrus forecasts
USDA forecasts for Florida citrus production in the 2026/27 season.
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Methodology
USDA forecast; the unit is million boxes as in the source table.
Updated:
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