# UNEP says temporary 1.5°C overshoot is likely

> UNEP’s Limiting Overshoot report expects warming to cross 1.5°C in the next few years and examines pathways to limit and reverse the overshoot.

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- Publisher: Newsverum
- Section: Climate
- Published: 2026-10-06T08:59:02+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-07T05:59:13+03:00
- Event / data period: 2026-09-02
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The UN Environment Programme’s Limiting Overshoot report, released on 2 September, says global warming is likely to cross the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C level within the next few years. It argues that the magnitude and duration of the overshoot should be kept as small as possible.

The agency’s release says the report’s best-case scenario limits peak warming to 1.8°C, while other scenarios exceed 2°C. These are modelled pathways, not measured future outcomes.

## Data

### Source-reported figure

Measurement or forecast published by the official source.

Methodology: Stores the source-reported value and period without conversion or an independent forecast.

| label | value | unit | period | basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peak warming in UNEP best-case scenario | 1.8 | °C | 2026-09-02 | forecast |

Sources: <https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/press-release/unep-world-set-cross-15degc-global-warming-can-still-limit-adapt-and> · Download data: [JSON](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/unep-report-details-global-temperature-overshoot-pathway/data/reported-figure?lang=en&format=json) · [CSV](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/unep-report-details-global-temperature-overshoot-pathway/data/reported-figure?lang=en&format=csv)

## Sources

- [United Nations Environment Programme](<https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/press-release/unep-world-set-cross-15degc-global-warming-can-still-limit-adapt-and>) (Source checked: 2026-10-06; Published: 2026-09-02)

## Correction history

- 2026-10-07T00:52:50+03:00: German and Portuguese editions and translations of the data and correction explanations have been added to this article.
- 2026-10-07T05:59:13+03:00: Data classification added: each figure now carries a measure identifier with its unit, geography, frequency and type. No figure, unit or date changed.

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