# IMF staff project Mexico GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026

> Mexico’s finance ministry says the IMF staff outlook sees growth strengthening to 1.8% in 2027 after completing an Article IV mission.

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- Section: Economy
- Country: Mexico
- Published: 2026-10-06T17:58:49+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-07T05:58:21+03:00
- Event / data period: 2026-10-02
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Mexico’s finance ministry said IMF staff projected real GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027 after completing the Fund’s 2026 Article IV mission. The ministry’s October 2 release described the outlook as strengthening, supported in part by external trade.

The SHCP statement also relayed staff views on fiscal consolidation, financial-system resilience and inflation near the central bank’s target. The IMF statement was still listed as pending on the ministry page when reviewed, so these findings are reported as SHCP’s account of the staff mission, not a completed IMF Board assessment.

## Data

### IMF staff growth projections for Mexico

Real GDP growth projections attributed to IMF staff by Mexico’s finance ministry after the 2026 Article IV mission.

Methodology: Rates are real GDP projections attributed to IMF staff in SHCP’s October 2, 2026 release; they are not a final Executive Board assessment.

| label | value | unit | period | basis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 real GDP growth projection | 1.5 | percent | 2026 | forecast |
| 2027 real GDP growth projection | 1.8 | percent | 2027 | forecast |

Sources: <https://www.gob.mx/shcp/prensa/comunicado-no-79> · Download data: [JSON](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/mexico-imf-staff-sees-gdp-growth-at-1-5-percent-in-2026/data/imf-mexico-growth-outlook-2026-2027?lang=en&format=json) · [CSV](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/mexico-imf-staff-sees-gdp-growth-at-1-5-percent-in-2026/data/imf-mexico-growth-outlook-2026-2027?lang=en&format=csv)

## Sources

- [Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público (SHCP)](<https://www.gob.mx/shcp/prensa/comunicado-no-79>) (Source checked: 2026-10-06; Published: 2026-10-02)

## Correction history

- 2026-10-07T00:49:39+03:00: German and Portuguese editions and translations of the data and correction explanations have been added to this article.
- 2026-10-07T05:58:21+03:00: Data classification added: each figure now carries a measure identifier with its unit, geography, frequency and type. No figure, unit or date changed.

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