# Florida orange crop forecast 23% lower for 2026/27

> USDA’s October forecast puts Florida orange production at 10 million boxes, with declines projected for both Valencia and non-Valencia oranges.

- Canonical URL: https://newsverum.com/en/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27
- Publisher: Newsverum
- Section: Agriculture
- Country: United States
- Published: 2026-10-15T17:36:41+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-15T17:36:41+00:00
- Source review period: 2026-10
- Other editions: [Türkçe](https://newsverum.com/tr/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md), [العربية](https://newsverum.com/ar/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md), [Français](https://newsverum.com/fr/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md), [Español](https://newsverum.com/es/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md), [Deutsch](https://newsverum.com/de/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md), [Português](https://newsverum.com/pt/news/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27.md)

*The source does not state the event date; the period shown is the source review period.*

A 9 October forecast from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service put Florida’s total orange production for the 2026/27 season at 10 million boxes. That is 23% below final production in 2025/26 and comprises 3 million boxes of non-Valencia oranges and 7 million boxes of Valencia oranges.

The non-Valencia forecast is 37% below last season and the Valencia forecast is 14% lower. The report also forecasts grapefruit production of 1.3 million boxes, down 4%; lemons at 950,000 boxes, up 6%; and tangerines and tangelos at 450,000 boxes, down 2%. USDA says its forecasts use fruit counts, tree inventories, fruit-size measurements and fruit-drop surveys.

## Data

### Florida citrus forecasts

USDA forecasts for Florida citrus production in the 2026/27 season.

Methodology: USDA forecast; the unit is million boxes as in the source table.

| Florida total orange production forecast (million boxes) |
|---|
| 10 |

Sources: <https://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Florida/Publications/Citrus/Citrus_Forecast/2026-27/26%20Oct%2009%20Forecast.pdf> · Download data: [JSON](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27/data/reported-figures?lang=en&format=json) · [CSV](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/florida-orange-production-forecast-2026-27/data/reported-figures?lang=en&format=csv)

## Sources

- [USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, Florida Field Office](<https://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/Florida/Publications/Citrus/Citrus_Forecast/2026-27/26%20Oct%2009%20Forecast.pdf>) (Source checked: 2026-10-15; Published: 2026-10-09)

---

Cite the canonical URL above. [Editorial standards and corrections](https://newsverum.com/en/editorial)