# Market sees Brazil’s 2026 primary deficit at 52.3 billion reais > The Finance Ministry’s September Prisma survey showed the market median for the central government deficit below its August estimate. - Canonical URL: https://newsverum.com/en/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast - Publisher: Newsverum - Section: Fiscal Policy - Country: Brazil - Published: 2026-10-06T08:58:59+00:00 - Updated: 2026-10-07T05:57:02+03:00 - Event / data period: 2026-09-15 - Other editions: [Türkçe](https://newsverum.com/tr/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md), [العربية](https://newsverum.com/ar/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md), [Français](https://newsverum.com/fr/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md), [Español](https://newsverum.com/es/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md), [Deutsch](https://newsverum.com/de/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md), [Português](https://newsverum.com/pt/news/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast.md) Brazil’s 15 September Prisma Fiscal survey showed market participants lowering their 2026 central-government primary-deficit forecast to 52.271 billion reais from 59.145 billion in August. The 2027 median also fell, from 55 billion to 45.35 billion reais. The survey put the 2026 federal revenue forecast at 3.202 trillion reais and net central-government revenue at 2.581 trillion. The median estimate for gross general-government debt was 83.2% of GDP in 2026 and 87% in 2027. These are market projections, not recorded outcomes. ## Data ### Fiscal measure reported by the source Fiscal figure reported by the official source. Methodology: The amount, period and basis are reproduced as stated by the source; no additional calculation is made. | label | value | unit | period | basis | value_qualifier | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | Market median forecast of the 2026 central-government primary deficit | 52.271 | billion BRL | 2026 | estimate | exact | Sources: · Download data: [JSON](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast/data/fiscal-figures?lang=en&format=json) · [CSV](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/brazil-september-2026-prisma-market-fiscal-deficit-forecast/data/fiscal-figures?lang=en&format=csv) ## Sources - [Brazil Ministry of Finance, Economic Policy Secretariat]() (Source checked: 2026-10-06; Published: 2026-09-15) ## Correction history - 2026-10-07T00:55:01+03:00: German and Portuguese editions and translations of the data and correction explanations have been added to this article. - 2026-10-07T05:57:02+03:00: Data classification added: each figure now carries a measure identifier with its unit, geography, frequency and type. No figure, unit or date changed. --- Cite the canonical URL above. [Editorial standards and corrections](https://newsverum.com/en/editorial)