# EPE projects higher Brazilian fuel demand in 2026 and 2027

> EPE’s October outlook puts 2026 diesel demand at 72.4 billion litres and Otto-cycle fuel consumption at 64.8 billion litres of gasoline equivalent.

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- Publisher: Newsverum
- Section: Energy
- Country: Brazil
- Published: 2026-10-21T00:44:00+00:00
- Updated: 2026-10-21T00:44:00+00:00
- Event / data period: 2026-10
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Brazil’s Energy Research Office (EPE), in an outlook published on 19 October, projected additional demand for liquid fuels and liquefied petroleum gas of 3.0 billion litres in 2026 and a further 4.2 billion litres in 2027. It cited economic activity, labour-market conditions and disposable income among factors expected to support consumption.

EPE forecast 2026 diesel demand of 72.4 billion litres and Otto-cycle fuel consumption of 64.8 billion litres in gasoline-equivalent terms. It expects aviation kerosene demand to exceed 7.5 billion litres in 2027, above the previous historical record set in 2014. These are projections, not recorded consumption.

## Data

### EPE fuel-demand forecasts

Forecasts in EPE’s October 2026 short-term outlook for the Brazilian fuel market.

Methodology: Forecasts published by EPE, retaining the fuel type, period and units stated in the source; these are not realized consumption.

| Measure | Period | Billion litres |
|---|---|---|
| Additional liquid fuels and LPG demand | 2026 | 3.0 |
| Additional liquid fuels and LPG demand | 2027 | 4.2 |
| Diesel demand | 2026 | 72.4 |
| Otto-cycle fuels, gasoline equivalent | 2026 | 64.8 |
| Aviation kerosene demand (above this level) | 2027 | 7.5 |

Sources: <https://www.epe.gov.br/pt/imprensa/noticias/epe-publica-a-edicao-de-outubro-de-2026-das-perspectivas-para-o-mercado-brasileiro-de-combustiveis-no-curto-prazo> · Download data: [JSON](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/brazil-epe-october-2026-fuels-demand-outlook/data/epe-fuel-demand-forecasts?lang=en&format=json) · [CSV](https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/brazil-epe-october-2026-fuels-demand-outlook/data/epe-fuel-demand-forecasts?lang=en&format=csv)

## Sources

- [Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (EPE)](<https://www.epe.gov.br/pt/imprensa/noticias/epe-publica-a-edicao-de-outubro-de-2026-das-perspectivas-para-o-mercado-brasileiro-de-combustiveis-no-curto-prazo>) (Source checked: 2026-10-21; Published: 2026-10-19)

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