{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027","available_at":"2026-10-07T03:14:17.518810Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"0ff61cf1b59715355280090191625820c5be07d1a6343b260f9fd7f23df3a25f","input_sha256":"b0eaf9ba20af883f167d7308c8159d84398ad81dba935bebcc85c5aadbf40c69","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[],"rules_sha256":"d28c9c89703b56bd91fd887965d416d0115c2473d4bfbd3e558bcceafc3941dd","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:20001129","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"en.title+en.summary","language":"en","note":"Subject suggested from the title or summary: El Niño","source_urls":["https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-set-become-very-strong-raising-risks-of-extreme-weather-2027"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"weather-phenomena","status":"candidate"},{"concept_id":"medtop:06000000","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"category+topics","language":"en","note":"Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate only","source_urls":["https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-set-become-very-strong-raising-risks-of-extreme-weather-2027"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"climate-broad","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=es","category":"climate","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["La Organización Meteorológica Mundial informó el 3 de septiembre que El Niño estaba establecido y se esperaba que se fortaleciera mucho en los próximos meses. Los pronósticos de los Centros Mundiales de Producción de la OMM asignaron una probabilidad cercana al 100 % de que persistiera hasta febrero de 2027.","La agencia dijo que las condiciones excepcionalmente cálidas del Pacífico tropical favorecían su intensificación y que los cambios en las lluvias y temperaturas podían elevar los riesgos de inundaciones, sequías y calor extremo. Es una perspectiva basada en modelos, no un pronóstico de un desastre concreto en un lugar específico."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[{"at":"2026-10-07T00:53:36+03:00","language":"es","text":"Se añadieron a este artículo las ediciones alemana y portuguesa y las traducciones de las explicaciones de datos y correcciones."},{"at":"2026-10-07T05:59:35+03:00","language":"es","text":"Se añadió la clasificación de los datos: cada cifra lleva ahora un identificador de medida con su unidad, geografía, frecuencia y tipo. No cambió ninguna cifra, unidad ni fecha."}],"country":null,"data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"ar":"قياس أو توقع منشور في المصدر الرسمي.","de":"Von der amtlichen Quelle veröffentlichte Messgröße oder Prognose.","en":"Measurement or forecast published by the official source.","es":"Medición o previsión publicada por la fuente oficial.","fr":"Mesure ou prévision publiée par la source officielle.","pt":"Medida ou previsão publicada pela fonte oficial.","tr":"Resmi kaynakta yayımlanan ölçüm veya tahmin."},"id":"reported-figure","items":[{"basis":"forecast","label":{"ar":"احتمال استمرار إل نينيو حتى فبراير 2027","de":"WMO-Prognose: Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass El Niño bis Februar 2027 anhält","en":"WMO forecast likelihood El Niño persists through February 2027","es":"Probabilidad prevista de persistir hasta febrero de 2027","fr":"Probabilité prévue de persistance jusqu’en février 2027","pt":"Previsão da OMM: probabilidade de o El Niño persistir até fevereiro de 2027","tr":"WMO’ya göre El Niño’nun Şubat 2027’ye kadar sürme olasılığı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"rate","frequency":"irregular","geography":"world","id":"wmo-el-nino-persistence-probability","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"percent"},"period":"2027-02","unit":"percent","value":100,"valueQualifier":"approximate"}],"methodology":{"ar":"يسجل القيمة والفترة الواردتين في المصدر دون تحويل أو توقع مستقل.","de":"Speichert den von der Quelle gemeldeten Wert und Zeitraum ohne Umrechnung oder unabhängige Prognose.","en":"Stores the source-reported value and period without conversion or an independent forecast.","es":"Registra el valor y el periodo indicados por la fuente, sin conversión ni pronóstico independiente.","fr":"Enregistre la valeur et la période indiquées par la source, sans conversion ni prévision indépendante.","pt":"Registra o valor e o período informados pela fonte, sem conversão nem previsão independente.","tr":"Kaynakta bildirilen değeri ve dönemi aynen kaydeder; dönüştürme veya bağımsız tahmin yapılmamıştır."},"sourceUrls":["https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-set-become-very-strong-raising-risks-of-extreme-weather-2027"],"title":{"ar":"القيمة الواردة في المصدر","de":"Von der Quelle gemeldete Kennzahl","en":"Source-reported figure","es":"Dato comunicado por la fuente","fr":"Valeur publiée par la source","pt":"Indicador informado pela fonte","tr":"Kaynakta bildirilen ölçüm"},"type":"metrics","updatedAt":"2026-10-07T00:53:36+03:00"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027/data/reported-figure?lang=es&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027/data/reported-figure?lang=es&format=json"},"id":"reported-figure"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Ilustración conceptual de atmósfera, océanos y observaciones climáticas.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-climate","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"es","scope":"topic","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"event_id":"event-b93be3ff-e02e-5ee1-a58e-fd994322ac33","event_period":"2026-08","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","id":"wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027","image":null,"importance":0.6,"language":"es","modified_at":"2026-10-07T05:59:35+03:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","published_at":"2026-10-06T08:59:02+00:00","reading_minutes":1,"region":"world","section_illustration":{"alt":"Ilustración conceptual de atmósfera, océanos y observaciones climáticas.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-climate","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"es","scope":"section","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"slug":"wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027","sources":[{"checkedAt":"2026-10-06","name":"World Meteorological Organization","publishedAt":"2026-09-03","url":"https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-set-become-very-strong-raising-risks-of-extreme-weather-2027"}],"summary":"La actualización de agosto de la OMM prevé un mayor fortalecimiento de El Niño y una probabilidad cercana al 100 % de que persista hasta febrero de 2027.","text":"La actualización de agosto de la OMM prevé un mayor fortalecimiento de El Niño y una probabilidad cercana al 100 % de que persista hasta febrero de 2027.\n\nLa Organización Meteorológica Mundial informó el 3 de septiembre que El Niño estaba establecido y se esperaba que se fortaleciera mucho en los próximos meses. Los pronósticos de los Centros Mundiales de Producción de la OMM asignaron una probabilidad cercana al 100 % de que persistiera hasta febrero de 2027.\n\nLa agencia dijo que las condiciones excepcionalmente cálidas del Pacífico tropical favorecían su intensificación y que los cambios en las lluvias y temperaturas podían elevar los riesgos de inundaciones, sequías y calor extremo. Es una perspectiva basada en modelos, no un pronóstico de un desastre concreto en un lugar específico.\n\nSe añadieron a este artículo las ediciones alemana y portuguesa y las traducciones de las explicaciones de datos y correcciones.\n\nSe añadió la clasificación de los datos: cada cifra lleva ahora un identificador de medida con su unidad, geografía, frecuencia y tipo. No cambió ninguna cifra, unidad ni fecha.","title":"La OMM ve casi segura la persistencia de El Niño hasta febrero de 2027","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/wmo-el-nino-update-forecasts-persistence-through-february-2027"},"version":"1"}