{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026","available_at":"2026-10-25T15:35:56.265491Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"ab827a6709a3f18d7eec2a006c9a383c729ec81b0e53b504a36abed6b06a6118","input_sha256":"620013b62990a3aec656a1ca11eac2c476c9b9d068f95e73afee5ab5df96b60f","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[{"admin1":null,"city":null,"coordinate_note":null,"coordinate_reference_system":"OGC:CRS84","coordinate_source":null,"country":"US","evidence":[{"field":"country","language":"en","note":"Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferred","source_urls":["https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/","https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2026/btos-oct-22.html","https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/downloads/Business%20Trends%20and%20Outlook%20Survey%20Indexes%20Methodology.pdf"]}],"geometry":null,"id":"iso3166-1:US","kind":"country-or-area","labels":{"ar":"الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية","en":"United States of America","es":"Estados Unidos de América","fr":"États-Unis d’Amérique"},"match_status":"candidate","precision":"regional","role":"coverage","uncertainty_m":null}],"rules_sha256":"fb5ad3c27c91cb840f7a0a05f7f64a5cb26ad0374409ff9457f277c7092e22b4","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:20000344","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"category+topics","language":"en","note":"Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate only","source_urls":["https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/","https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2026/btos-oct-22.html","https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/downloads/Business%20Trends%20and%20Outlook%20Survey%20Indexes%20Methodology.pdf"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"economy-broad","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026?lang=en","category":"economy","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["The U.S. Census Bureau released new data from its Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) on 22 October. The latest indicators cover responses through 18 October. BTOS collects biweekly information on revenue, employment, hours, demand and prices from U.S. employer businesses outside agriculture, and also asks about the outlook for the next six months.","In the national average, the current performance index was 56.5. The current revenue index was 41.6, employees 47.7, hours 46.2 and input prices 73.3. These are not raw counts of businesses or dollar totals for revenue; they are weighted indexes that summarize responses across categories. Under the Census Bureau methodology, 50 is the balance point where positive and negative responses balance; it does not necessarily mean that most businesses reported no change.","For the next six months, the indexes were 54.8 for performance, 51.7 for demand, 51.4 for employees, 50.1 for hours and 78.6 for input prices. The changes in future performance and demand from the prior collection period were both marked statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Changes in the other indicators did not carry the same significance marker. That distinction means small index movements should not automatically be treated as evidence of a broad business shift.","Index direction depends on what is measured. A revenue or hours index above 50 points to increases being more prevalent among businesses. A high input-price index may instead reflect more businesses reporting rising costs, which is not necessarily favorable for firms. The future input-price index remained elevated at 78.6 while the current index was 73.3; both indicate widespread reports of input-price increases.","BTOS draws on a sample of approximately 1.2 million businesses. Selected businesses are split into six panels of about 200,000 cases, with each panel asked to respond once every 12 weeks over a year. The survey’s design supports frequent releases, but its indexes are measures of business-reported conditions and expectations, not national-accounts totals or company financial statements.","Census also makes BTOS data available by sector, state and the 25 most populous metropolitan areas. The October release notice covers new data products, including business-use questions, while the indicators summarized here are the national indexes for overall performance, revenue, employees, hours, demand and input prices. They describe reported conditions and expectations; they do not forecast what growth or prices will actually be."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"US","data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"en":"BTOS national-average indexes published by the Census Bureau with data through 18 October 2026.","tr":"Census Bureau’nun 18 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla yayımladığı BTOS ulusal ortalama endeksleri."},"id":"data-us-btos-indicators-2026-10-18","items":[{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Current performance","tr":"Mevcut iş performansı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-current-performance-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":56.5},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Current revenues","tr":"Mevcut gelirler"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-current-revenue-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":41.6},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Current employees","tr":"Mevcut çalışan sayısı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-current-employees-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":47.7},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Current hours","tr":"Mevcut çalışma saatleri"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-current-hours-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":46.2},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Current input prices","tr":"Mevcut girdi fiyatları"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-current-input-prices-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":73.3},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Future performance","tr":"Gelecek altı ay iş performansı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-future-performance-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":54.8},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Future demand","tr":"Gelecek altı ay talep"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-future-demand-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":51.7},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Future employees","tr":"Gelecek altı ay çalışan sayısı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-future-employees-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":51.4},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Future hours","tr":"Gelecek altı ay çalışma saatleri"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-future-hours-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":50.1},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"en":"Future input prices","tr":"Gelecek altı ay girdi fiyatları"},"measure":{"aggregation":"unspecified","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"btos-future-input-prices-index","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"index-point"},"period":"2026-10-18","unit":"index points","value":78.6}],"methodology":{"en":"Indexes are weighted indicators built from BTOS responses. A level of 50 is the balance point; higher values indicate more prevalent increases or positive assessments and lower values more prevalent decreases or negative assessments. A higher price index may indicate cost pressure. The source marked changes in future performance and demand as statistically significant at the 95% confidence level.","tr":"Endeksler BTOS yanıtlarından oluşturulan ağırlıklı göstergelerdir. 50 düzeyi yanıtların dengelendiği noktayı temsil eder; üst değerler artış/olumlu değerlendirme, alt değerler azalma/olumsuz değerlendirme yanıtlarının daha yaygın olduğunu gösterir. Fiyat endeksinde artış maliyet baskısını ifade edebilir. Kaynak, geleceğe dönük performans ve talep değişimlerinde yüzde 95 güven düzeyinde istatistiksel anlamlılık işaretlemiştir."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/","https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2026/btos-oct-22.html","https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/downloads/Business%20Trends%20and%20Outlook%20Survey%20Indexes%20Methodology.pdf"],"title":{"en":"U.S. business conditions survey indicators","tr":"ABD işletme koşulları anketi göstergeleri"},"type":"metrics","updatedAt":"2026-10-25T15:32:43Z"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026/data/data-us-btos-indicators-2026-10-18?lang=en&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026/data/data-us-btos-indicators-2026-10-18?lang=en&format=json"},"id":"data-us-btos-indicators-2026-10-18"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Conceptual illustration of the global economy and trade connections.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-economy","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"en","scope":"topic","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"event_id":"event-1dfbac0e-3bd8-5923-92b2-e5953aa886d4","event_period":"2026-10-18","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","id":"us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026","image":null,"importance":0.6,"language":"en","modified_at":"2026-10-25T15:35:21+00:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","published_at":"2026-10-25T15:35:21+00:00","reading_minutes":3,"region":"world","section_illustration":{"alt":"Conceptual illustration of the global economy and trade connections.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-economy","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"en","scope":"section","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"slug":"us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026","sources":[{"checkedAt":"2026-10-25","name":"U.S. Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey","publishedAt":"2026-10-22","url":"https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/"},{"checkedAt":"2026-10-25","name":"U.S. Census Bureau, BTOS Data Release — October 22, 2026","publishedAt":"2026-10-22","url":"https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2026/btos-oct-22.html"},{"checkedAt":"2026-10-25","name":"U.S. Census Bureau, BTOS Index Methodology","url":"https://www.census.gov/hfp/btos/downloads/Business%20Trends%20and%20Outlook%20Survey%20Indexes%20Methodology.pdf"}],"summary":"In BTOS data through 18 October, the Census Bureau marked increases in future performance and demand indexes as statistically significant.","text":"In BTOS data through 18 October, the Census Bureau marked increases in future performance and demand indexes as statistically significant.\n\nThe U.S. Census Bureau released new data from its Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS) on 22 October. The latest indicators cover responses through 18 October. BTOS collects biweekly information on revenue, employment, hours, demand and prices from U.S. employer businesses outside agriculture, and also asks about the outlook for the next six months.\n\nIn the national average, the current performance index was 56.5. The current revenue index was 41.6, employees 47.7, hours 46.2 and input prices 73.3. These are not raw counts of businesses or dollar totals for revenue; they are weighted indexes that summarize responses across categories. Under the Census Bureau methodology, 50 is the balance point where positive and negative responses balance; it does not necessarily mean that most businesses reported no change.\n\nFor the next six months, the indexes were 54.8 for performance, 51.7 for demand, 51.4 for employees, 50.1 for hours and 78.6 for input prices. The changes in future performance and demand from the prior collection period were both marked statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Changes in the other indicators did not carry the same significance marker. That distinction means small index movements should not automatically be treated as evidence of a broad business shift.\n\nIndex direction depends on what is measured. A revenue or hours index above 50 points to increases being more prevalent among businesses. A high input-price index may instead reflect more businesses reporting rising costs, which is not necessarily favorable for firms. The future input-price index remained elevated at 78.6 while the current index was 73.3; both indicate widespread reports of input-price increases.\n\nBTOS draws on a sample of approximately 1.2 million businesses. Selected businesses are split into six panels of about 200,000 cases, with each panel asked to respond once every 12 weeks over a year. The survey’s design supports frequent releases, but its indexes are measures of business-reported conditions and expectations, not national-accounts totals or company financial statements.\n\nCensus also makes BTOS data available by sector, state and the 25 most populous metropolitan areas. The October release notice covers new data products, including business-use questions, while the indicators summarized here are the national indexes for overall performance, revenue, employees, hours, demand and input prices. They describe reported conditions and expectations; they do not forecast what growth or prices will actually be.","title":"U.S. business survey indexes put revenue at 41.6 and input prices at 73.3","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/us-census-btos-business-condition-indexes-october-18-2026"},"version":"1"}