{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey","available_at":"2026-10-15T08:59:24.722773Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"222414c412af90ba4e0fcc3a35b0ffb9e041eafd0bcc9498607f37506bc4d72b","input_sha256":"c278e85e451b73162442e105a44a861ceee2fe85488ae2c8a44c3a21224ea2c6","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[{"admin1":null,"city":null,"coordinate_note":null,"coordinate_reference_system":"OGC:CRS84","coordinate_source":null,"country":"RU","evidence":[{"field":"country","language":"en","note":"Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferred","source_urls":["https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/","https://www.cbr.ru/eng/calendar/"]}],"geometry":null,"id":"iso3166-1:RU","kind":"country-or-area","labels":{"ar":"الاتحاد الروسي","en":"Russian Federation","es":"Federación de Rusia","fr":"Fédération de Russie"},"match_status":"candidate","precision":"regional","role":"coverage","uncertainty_m":null}],"rules_sha256":"fb5ad3c27c91cb840f7a0a05f7f64a5cb26ad0374409ff9457f277c7092e22b4","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:20000370","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"en.title+en.summary","language":"en","note":"Subject suggested from the title or summary: inflation","source_urls":["https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/","https://www.cbr.ru/eng/calendar/"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"inflation","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=ar","category":"economy","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["رفع الاقتصاديون المشاركون في مسح بنك روسيا للفترة من 9 إلى 13 أكتوبر توقع التضخم من ديسمبر إلى ديسمبر لعام 2026 إلى 7.1%، بزيادة 0.5 نقطة مئوية عن مسح سبتمبر. كما رفعوا التوقع إلى 5.0% لعام 2027 و4.2% لعام 2028، ويتوقعون عودة التضخم إلى الهدف في 2029.","وتوقع المشاركون الـ32 نمواً اقتصادياً بنسبة 0.6% في 2026، بزيادة 0.1 نقطة عن الجولة السابقة، بينما بقي توقع نمو 2027 عند 1.2%. وقال البنك إن النتائج تمثل وسيط توقعات الاقتصاديين وإن نطاقات التوقعات ضاقت لمعظم المؤشرات."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"RU","data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"ar":"وسيط التوقعات المنشورة في مسح بنك روسيا لشهر أكتوبر 2026.","de":"Veröffentlichte Medianprognosen aus der Oktoberumfrage 2026 der Bank von Russland.","en":"Published median projections from the Bank of Russia’s October 2026 survey.","es":"Medianas publicadas de la encuesta de octubre de 2026 del Banco de Rusia.","fr":"Prévisions médianes publiées dans l’enquête d’octobre 2026 de la Banque de Russie.","pt":"Medianas publicadas do inquérito de outubro de 2026 do Banco da Rússia.","tr":"Banka Rusya’nın Ekim 2026 anketinin yayımlanan medyan tahminleri."},"id":"survey-projection","items":[{"date":"2026-10-13","description":{"ar":"وسيط توقع التضخم في 2026: 7.1%، بزيادة 0.5 نقطة عن سبتمبر. توقع النمو لعام 2026: 0.6%.","de":"Medianprognose der Inflation 2026: 7,1 %, 0,5 Punkte mehr als im September. Wachstumsprognose 2026: 0,6 %.","en":"Median 2026 inflation forecast: 7.1%, up 0.5 points from September. 2026 growth forecast: 0.6%.","es":"Previsión mediana de inflación de 2026: 7,1%, 0,5 puntos más que en septiembre. Crecimiento previsto para 2026: 0,6%.","fr":"Prévision médiane d’inflation 2026 : 7,1 %, soit +0,5 point depuis septembre. Croissance prévue en 2026 : 0,6 %.","pt":"Previsão mediana de inflação em 2026: 7,1%, mais 0,5 pontos do que em setembro. Crescimento previsto em 2026: 0,6%.","tr":"2026 enflasyon medyanı yüzde 7,1; Eylül’e göre +0,5 puan. 2026 büyüme tahmini yüzde 0,6."},"label":{"ar":"انتهاء فترة المسح","de":"Ende des Befragungszeitraums","en":"Survey period ended","es":"Fin del periodo de la encuesta","fr":"Fin de la période d’enquête","pt":"Fim do período do inquérito","tr":"Anketin tamamlanması"},"status":"occurred"}],"methodology":{"ar":"أُجري المسح بين 9 و13 أكتوبر ويستخدم وسيط توقعات 32 اقتصادياً. المقارنات هي الفروق عن مسح سبتمبر كما تعرضها صفحة البنك.","de":"Die Umfrage lief vom 9. bis 13. Oktober und verwendet den Median der Prognosen von 32 Ökonomen. Vergleiche folgen den von der Bank angegebenen Änderungen zur Septemberumfrage.","en":"The survey ran 9–13 October and uses the median forecasts of 32 economists. Comparisons are the September-survey changes shown on the Bank’s page.","es":"La encuesta se realizó del 9 al 13 de octubre y utiliza la mediana de las previsiones de 32 economistas. Las comparaciones corresponden a las diferencias frente a septiembre indicadas por el Banco.","fr":"L’enquête s’est déroulée du 9 au 13 octobre et utilise la médiane des prévisions de 32 économistes. Les comparaisons reprennent les écarts indiqués par la Banque par rapport à septembre.","pt":"O inquérito decorreu de 9 a 13 de outubro e utiliza a mediana das previsões de 32 economistas. As comparações são as diferenças face ao inquérito de setembro indicadas pelo Banco.","tr":"Anket 9–13 Ekim’de yapıldı; 32 ekonomistin tahminlerinin medyanı kullanıldı. Karşılaştırmalar Bankanın sayfasında verilen Eylül anketi farklarıdır."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/"],"title":{"ar":"مسح أكتوبر للاقتصاد الكلي","de":"Makroökonomische Oktoberumfrage","en":"October macroeconomic survey","es":"Encuesta macroeconómica de octubre","fr":"Enquête macroéconomique d’octobre","pt":"Inquérito macroeconómico de outubro","tr":"Ekim makroekonomik anketi"},"type":"events","updatedAt":"2026-10-15T07:56:56Z"},{"columns":[{"key":"indicator","label":{"ar":"المؤشر","de":"Kennzahl","en":"Measure","es":"Indicador","fr":"Indicateur","pt":"Indicador","tr":"Gösterge"},"language":"en","type":"text"},{"key":"value","label":{"ar":"القيمة","de":"Wert","en":"Value","es":"Valor","fr":"Valeur","pt":"Valor","tr":"Değer"},"type":"number","unit":"percent"},{"key":"unit","label":{"ar":"الوحدة","de":"Einheit","en":"Unit","es":"Unidad","fr":"Unité","pt":"Unidade","tr":"Birim"},"language":"en","type":"text"},{"key":"period","label":{"ar":"الفترة المرجعية","de":"Bezugszeitraum","en":"Reference period","es":"Periodo de referencia","fr":"Période de référence","pt":"Período de referência","tr":"Referans dönemi"},"language":"en","type":"text"},{"key":"basis","label":{"ar":"الأساس","de":"Grundlage","en":"Basis","es":"Base","fr":"Base","pt":"Base","tr":"Dayanak"},"language":"en","type":"text"}],"description":{"ar":"وسيط توقعات 32 اقتصادياً شملهم المسح بين 9 و13 أكتوبر 2026.","de":"Medianprognosen von 32 Ökonomen, die vom 9. bis 13. Oktober 2026 befragt wurden.","en":"Median projections from 32 economists surveyed on 9–13 October 2026.","es":"Medianas de las previsiones de 32 economistas encuestados del 9 al 13 de octubre de 2026.","fr":"Prévisions médianes de 32 économistes interrogés du 9 au 13 octobre 2026.","pt":"Medianas das previsões de 32 economistas inquiridos de 9 a 13 de outubro de 2026.","tr":"9–13 Ekim 2026’da ankete katılan 32 ekonomistin medyan tahminleri."},"id":"survey-forecasts","methodology":{"ar":"القيم وسيط توقعات المشاركين وليست نتائج فعلية أو توقعات البنك المركزي نفسه. التضخم من ديسمبر إلى ديسمبر؛ والناتج نمو سنوي.","de":"Die Werte sind Mediane der Teilnehmerprognosen, keine Ergebnisse oder eigene Prognosen der Bank. Inflation wird Dezember zu Dezember gemessen, das BIP als Jahreswachstum.","en":"Values are the medians of survey participants’ forecasts, not outcomes or the Bank of Russia’s own forecast. Inflation is December-to-December; GDP is annual growth.","es":"Los valores son medianas de las previsiones de los participantes, no resultados ni previsiones propias del Banco. La inflación es de diciembre a diciembre; el PIB, crecimiento anual.","fr":"Les valeurs sont les médianes des prévisions des participants, et non des résultats ni les prévisions propres de la Banque. L’inflation est mesurée de décembre à décembre ; le PIB, en croissance annuelle.","pt":"Os valores são medianas das previsões dos participantes, não resultados nem previsões próprias do Banco. A inflação é de dezembro a dezembro; o PIB, crescimento anual.","tr":"Değerler sonuç veya Rusya Merkez Bankasının kendi tahmini değil, katılımcıların tahmin medyanıdır. Enflasyon aralık yıllık, GSYH yıllık büyümedir."},"rowTranslations":[{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع التضخم","de":"Inflationsprognose","en":"Inflation forecast","es":"Previsión de inflación","fr":"Prévision d’inflation","pt":"Previsão de inflação","tr":"Enflasyon tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2026","de":"Prognose für 2026","en":"2026 forecast","es":"previsión para 2026","fr":"prévision 2026","pt":"previsão para 2026","tr":"2026 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}},{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع التضخم","de":"Inflationsprognose","en":"Inflation forecast","es":"Previsión de inflación","fr":"Prévision d’inflation","pt":"Previsão de inflação","tr":"Enflasyon tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2027","de":"Prognose für 2027","en":"2027 forecast","es":"previsión para 2027","fr":"prévision 2027","pt":"previsão para 2027","tr":"2027 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}},{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع التضخم","de":"Inflationsprognose","en":"Inflation forecast","es":"Previsión de inflación","fr":"Prévision d’inflation","pt":"Previsão de inflação","tr":"Enflasyon tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2028","de":"Prognose für 2028","en":"2028 forecast","es":"previsión para 2028","fr":"prévision 2028","pt":"previsão para 2028","tr":"2028 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}},{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع التضخم","de":"Inflationsprognose","en":"Inflation forecast","es":"Previsión de inflación","fr":"Prévision d’inflation","pt":"Previsão de inflação","tr":"Enflasyon tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2029","de":"Prognose für 2029","en":"2029 forecast","es":"previsión para 2029","fr":"prévision 2029","pt":"previsão para 2029","tr":"2029 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}},{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي","de":"BIP-Wachstumsprognose","en":"GDP growth forecast","es":"Previsión de crecimiento del PIB","fr":"Prévision de croissance du PIB","pt":"Previsão de crescimento do PIB","tr":"GSYH büyüme tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2026","de":"Prognose für 2026","en":"2026 forecast","es":"previsión para 2026","fr":"prévision 2026","pt":"previsão para 2026","tr":"2026 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}},{"basis":{"ar":"توقع","de":"Prognose","en":"forecast","es":"previsión","fr":"prévision","pt":"previsão","tr":"tahmin"},"indicator":{"ar":"توقع نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي","de":"BIP-Wachstumsprognose","en":"GDP growth forecast","es":"Previsión de crecimiento del PIB","fr":"Prévision de croissance du PIB","pt":"Previsão de crescimento do PIB","tr":"GSYH büyüme tahmini"},"period":{"ar":"توقعات 2027","de":"Prognose für 2027","en":"2027 forecast","es":"previsión para 2027","fr":"prévision 2027","pt":"previsão para 2027","tr":"2027 tahmini"},"unit":{"ar":"بالمئة","de":"Prozent","en":"percent","es":"por ciento","fr":"pour cent","pt":"por cento","tr":"yüzde"}}],"rows":[{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"Inflation forecast","period":"2026 forecast","unit":"percent","value":7.1},{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"Inflation forecast","period":"2027 forecast","unit":"percent","value":5},{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"Inflation forecast","period":"2028 forecast","unit":"percent","value":4.2},{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"Inflation forecast","period":"2029 forecast","unit":"percent","value":4},{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"GDP growth forecast","period":"2026 forecast","unit":"percent","value":0.6},{"basis":"forecast","indicator":"GDP growth forecast","period":"2027 forecast","unit":"percent","value":1.2}],"sourceUrls":["https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/","https://www.cbr.ru/eng/calendar/"],"title":{"ar":"توقعات مسح المحللين","de":"Prognosen der Analystenumfrage","en":"Analyst survey forecasts","es":"Previsiones de la encuesta de analistas","fr":"Prévisions de l’enquête auprès des analystes","pt":"Previsões do inquérito a analistas","tr":"Analist anketi tahminleri"},"type":"table","updatedAt":"2026-10-15T08:32:44Z"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey/data/survey-projection?lang=ar&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey/data/survey-projection?lang=ar&format=json"},"id":"survey-projection"},{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey/data/survey-forecasts?lang=ar&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey/data/survey-forecasts?lang=ar&format=json"},"id":"survey-forecasts"}],"data_types":["events","table"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"رسم توضيحي مفاهيمي للاقتصاد العالمي وروابط التجارة.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-economy","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"ar","scope":"topic","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"event_id":"event-34ea4054-a9fc-5f26-89b3-b42f680abe3d","event_period":"2026-10-13","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","id":"russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey","image":null,"importance":0.6,"language":"ar","modified_at":"2026-10-15T08:58:14+00:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","published_at":"2026-10-15T08:58:14+00:00","reading_minutes":1,"region":"world","section_illustration":{"alt":"رسم توضيحي مفاهيمي للاقتصاد العالمي وروابط التجارة.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-economy","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"ar","scope":"section","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/economy-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"slug":"russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey","sources":[{"checkedAt":"2026-10-15","name":"Bank of Russia","publishedAt":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/ddkp/mo_br/"},{"checkedAt":"2026-10-15","name":"Bank of Russia October 2026 publication calendar","publishedAt":"2026-10-14","url":"https://www.cbr.ru/eng/calendar/"}],"summary":"أظهر مسح أكتوبر لبنك روسيا، بمشاركة 32 اقتصادياً، زيادة توقعات التضخم مع نمو متوقع قدره 0.6% في 2026.","text":"أظهر مسح أكتوبر لبنك روسيا، بمشاركة 32 اقتصادياً، زيادة توقعات التضخم مع نمو متوقع قدره 0.6% في 2026.\n\nرفع الاقتصاديون المشاركون في مسح بنك روسيا للفترة من 9 إلى 13 أكتوبر توقع التضخم من ديسمبر إلى ديسمبر لعام 2026 إلى 7.1%، بزيادة 0.5 نقطة مئوية عن مسح سبتمبر. كما رفعوا التوقع إلى 5.0% لعام 2027 و4.2% لعام 2028، ويتوقعون عودة التضخم إلى الهدف في 2029.\n\nوتوقع المشاركون الـ32 نمواً اقتصادياً بنسبة 0.6% في 2026، بزيادة 0.1 نقطة عن الجولة السابقة، بينما بقي توقع نمو 2027 عند 1.2%. وقال البنك إن النتائج تمثل وسيط توقعات الاقتصاديين وإن نطاقات التوقعات ضاقت لمعظم المؤشرات.","title":"محللون يرفعون توقع التضخم الروسي لعام 2026 إلى 7.1%","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/russia-cbr-october-2026-analyst-survey"},"version":"1"}
