{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27","available_at":"2026-10-16T16:20:47.023998Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"34f8287c7b3006ac290f10fcc9dff50e3d1dcc512f8960ab74d1dac076394e0c","input_sha256":"d6fd77401fb82e9a9d5222aebaf7671456b62d0d78690b0b523cb74eeccef902","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[{"admin1":null,"city":null,"coordinate_note":null,"coordinate_reference_system":"OGC:CRS84","coordinate_source":null,"country":"US","evidence":[{"field":"country","language":"en","note":"Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferred","source_urls":["https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/el-nino-looms-large-over-us-winter-outlook"]}],"geometry":null,"id":"iso3166-1:US","kind":"country-or-area","labels":{"ar":"الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية","en":"United States of America","es":"Estados Unidos de América","fr":"États-Unis d’Amérique"},"match_status":"candidate","precision":"regional","role":"coverage","uncertainty_m":null}],"rules_sha256":"fb5ad3c27c91cb840f7a0a05f7f64a5cb26ad0374409ff9457f277c7092e22b4","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:06000000","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"category+topics","language":"en","note":"Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate only","source_urls":["https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/el-nino-looms-large-over-us-winter-outlook"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"climate-broad","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=en","category":"climate","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s winter outlook favors above-average temperatures across the northern United States during December 2026 to February 2027. It also tilts toward wetter conditions across the South and along the East Coast.","NOAA expects drought to improve in many areas of the Southern Great Plains, Southwest and East, while parts of the northern Rockies have elevated odds of drought developing or worsening. These are seasonal probability outlooks, not precise local weather forecasts."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"US","data":{"blocks":[{"columns":[{"key":"area","label":{"ar":"المنطقة","de":"Gebiet","en":"Area","es":"Zona","fr":"Zone","pt":"Área","tr":"Gebied"},"language":"en","type":"text"},{"key":"outlook","label":{"ar":"التوقع","de":"Ausblick","en":"Outlook","es":"Perspectiva","fr":"Perspective","pt":"Perspetiva","tr":"Beklentiler"},"language":"en","type":"text"}],"description":{"ar":"فئات احتمالية موسمية من NOAA وليست توقعات محلية دقيقة.","de":"Saisonale Wahrscheinlichkeitskategorien von NOAA, keine genauen lokalen Wettervorhersagen.","en":"NOAA seasonal probability categories, not precise local weather forecasts.","es":"Categorías de probabilidad estacional de NOAA, no pronósticos locales precisos.","fr":"Catégories de probabilités saisonnières de la NOAA, pas des prévisions locales précises.","pt":"Categorias de probabilidade sazonal da NOAA, não previsões locais precisas.","tr":"NOAA’nın mevsimsel olasılık kategorileri, kesin yerel hava tahmini değildir."},"id":"source-reported-indicators","methodology":{"ar":"نُقلت الفئات من العبارات الإقليمية في توقعات الشتاء والجفاف لدى NOAA بتاريخ 15 أكتوبر 2026؛ ولم يُستنتج طقس مؤكد.","de":"Die Kategorien geben regionale Aussagen aus NOAAs Winter- und Dürreausblick vom 15. Oktober 2026 wieder; ein sicheres Wetterergebnis wird nicht abgeleitet.","en":"Categories transcribe regional statements in NOAA’s October 15, 2026 winter and drought outlook; no certain weather outcome is inferred.","es":"Las categorías reproducen las indicaciones regionales de la perspectiva invernal y de sequía de NOAA del 15 de octubre de 2026; no se infiere un resultado meteorológico seguro.","fr":"Les catégories reprennent les formulations régionales des perspectives hivernales et de sécheresse de la NOAA du 15 octobre 2026 ; aucun résultat certain n’est déduit.","pt":"As categorias reproduzem indicações regionais da perspetiva de inverno e seca da NOAA de 15 de outubro de 2026; não se infere um resultado meteorológico certo.","tr":"Kategoriler NOAA’nın 15 Ekim 2026 tarihli kış ve kuraklık görünümündeki bölgesel ifadelerden aktarılmıştır; kesin hava sonucu çıkarılmamıştır."},"rowTranslations":[{"area":{"ar":"شمال الولايات المتحدة","de":"Norden der USA","en":"Northern U.S.","es":"Norte de EE. UU.","fr":"Nord des États-Unis","pt":"Norte dos EUA","tr":"Kuzey ABD"},"outlook":{"ar":"ترجح درجات حرارة أعلى من المتوسط.","de":"Überdurchschnittliche Temperaturen sind wahrscheinlicher.","en":"Above-average temperatures are favored.","es":"Se favorecen temperaturas superiores a la media.","fr":"Températures supérieures à la moyenne privilégiées.","pt":"Favorecem-se temperaturas acima da média.","tr":"Ortalamanın üzerinde sıcaklık olasılığı daha yüksek."}},{"area":{"ar":"الجنوب والساحل الشرقي","de":"Süden und Ostküste","en":"South and East Coast","es":"Sur y costa este","fr":"Sud et côte Est","pt":"Sul e costa leste","tr":"Güney ve Doğu Kıyısı"},"outlook":{"ar":"ترجح أمطار أعلى من المتوسط.","de":"Überdurchschnittliche Niederschläge sind wahrscheinlicher.","en":"Above-average precipitation is favored.","es":"Se favorecen precipitaciones superiores a la media.","fr":"Précipitations supérieures à la moyenne privilégiées.","pt":"Favorecem-se precipitações acima da média.","tr":"Ortalamanın üzerinde yağış olasılığı daha yüksek."}},{"area":{"ar":"توقعات الجفاف","de":"Dürreaussichten","en":"Drought outlook","es":"Perspectiva de sequía","fr":"Perspectives de sécheresse","pt":"Perspetiva de seca","tr":"Kuraklık görünümü"},"outlook":{"ar":"يرجح التحسن في السهول الكبرى الجنوبية والجنوب الغربي والشرق؛ ويرجح التفاقم في أجزاء من جبال روكي الشمالية.","de":"Verbesserung in den südlichen Great Plains, im Südwesten und Osten wahrscheinlicher; Verschlechterung in Teilen der nördlichen Rocky Mountains.","en":"Improvement is favored in the Southern Great Plains, Southwest and East; worsening is favored in parts of the northern Rockies.","es":"Se favorece la mejora en las Grandes Llanuras del Sur, el suroeste y el este; y el empeoramiento en partes de las Rocosas del Norte.","fr":"Amélioration privilégiée dans les Grandes Plaines du Sud, le Sud-Ouest et l’Est ; aggravation privilégiée dans certaines parties des Rocheuses du Nord.","pt":"Favorece-se a melhoria nas Grandes Planícies do Sul, no Sudoeste e no Leste; e o agravamento em partes das Montanhas Rochosas do Norte.","tr":"Güney Büyük Ovaları, Güneybatı ve Doğu’da iyileşme; kuzey Rocky Dağları’nın bazı kesimlerinde kötüleşme olasılığı daha yüksek."}}],"rows":[{"area":"Northern U.S.","outlook":"Above-average temperatures are favored."},{"area":"South and East Coast","outlook":"Above-average precipitation is favored."},{"area":"Drought outlook","outlook":"Improvement is favored in the Southern Great Plains, Southwest and East; worsening is favored in parts of the northern Rockies."}],"sourceUrls":["https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/el-nino-looms-large-over-us-winter-outlook"],"title":{"ar":"المؤشرات التي أوردها المصدر","de":"Von der Quelle gemeldete Kennzahlen","en":"Indicators reported by the source","es":"Indicadores comunicados por la fuente","fr":"Indicateurs publiés par la source","pt":"Indicadores divulgados pela fonte","tr":"Kaynağın bildirdiği göstergeler"},"type":"table","updatedAt":"2026-10-16T15:46:46Z"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27/data/source-reported-indicators?lang=en&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27/data/source-reported-indicators?lang=en&format=json"},"id":"source-reported-indicators"}],"data_types":["table"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Conceptual illustration of the atmosphere, oceans and climate observations.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-climate","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"en","scope":"topic","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"event_id":"event-92768156-48b8-55be-9719-009c44ff9bc7","event_period":"2026-10-15","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","id":"noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27","image":null,"importance":0.6,"language":"en","modified_at":"2026-10-16T16:20:30+00:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","published_at":"2026-10-16T16:20:30+00:00","reading_minutes":1,"region":"world","section_illustration":{"alt":"Conceptual illustration of the atmosphere, oceans and climate observations.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-climate","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"en","scope":"section","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/climate-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"slug":"noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27","sources":[{"checkedAt":"2026-10-16","name":"National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration","publishedAt":"2026-10-15","url":"https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/el-nino-looms-large-over-us-winter-outlook"}],"summary":"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s winter outlook favors above-average temperatures across the northern United States during December 2026 to February 2027. It also tilts toward wetter conditions across the South and along the East Coast.","text":"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s winter outlook favors above-average temperatures across the northern United States during December 2026 to February 2027. It also tilts toward wetter conditions across the South and along the East Coast.\n\nThe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s winter outlook favors above-average temperatures across the northern United States during December 2026 to February 2027. It also tilts toward wetter conditions across the South and along the East Coast.\n\nNOAA expects drought to improve in many areas of the Southern Great Plains, Southwest and East, while parts of the northern Rockies have elevated odds of drought developing or worsening. These are seasonal probability outlooks, not precise local weather forecasts.","title":"NOAA outlook favors warmer northern U.S. and wetter South this winter","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/noaa-outlook-projects-warmer-north-wetter-south-for-us-winter-2026-27"},"version":"1"}