{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026","available_at":"2026-10-07T12:59:47.876564Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"242a188125def3164451fa338cb28f0cdd58bcf420acff004beec637bdb74259","input_sha256":"ea4539fa5b6356ea25fb4090ddb099c4eab740bce4de6e5a172d420b5afbb635","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[{"admin1":null,"city":null,"coordinate_note":null,"coordinate_reference_system":"OGC:CRS84","coordinate_source":null,"country":"US","evidence":[{"field":"country","language":"en","note":"Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferred","source_urls":["https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press593.php","https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2026/10-winterfuels/article.php"]}],"geometry":null,"id":"iso3166-1:US","kind":"country-or-area","labels":{"ar":"الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية","en":"United States of America","es":"Estados Unidos de América","fr":"États-Unis d’Amérique"},"match_status":"candidate","precision":"regional","role":"coverage","uncertainty_m":null}],"rules_sha256":"d28c9c89703b56bd91fd887965d416d0115c2473d4bfbd3e558bcceafc3941dd","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:20001243","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"en.title+en.summary","language":"en","note":"Subject suggested from the title or summary: propane","source_urls":["https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press593.php","https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2026/10-winterfuels/article.php"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"oil-gas","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=pt","category":"energy","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["A Administração de Informação de Energia dos Estados Unidos espera que os lares que aquecem principalmente com gás natural ou propano — cerca de metade das residências do país — gastem menos com esses combustíveis neste inverno do que no ano passado. Na perspectiva de 6 de outubro, a agência projetou aumento de aproximadamente 21% nos gastos com combustível das casas que usam óleo de aquecimento, parcialmente compensado pelo clima mais ameno esperado no Nordeste, onde se concentra a maioria delas.","A EIA prevê que os lares que dependem sobretudo de eletricidade ou óleo de aquecimento gastem mais no total com aquecimento. A agência projeta alta superior a 30% no preço do óleo de aquecimento em relação ao ano anterior; essas casas representam cerca de 3% dos lares dos EUA. As projeções pressupõem temperaturas nacionais de inverno próximas às do ano passado e à média dos dez invernos anteriores; condições diferentes alterariam demanda e custos."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"US","data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"ar":"توقعات إدارة معلومات الطاقة لنسب تكاليف التدفئة المنزلية وأسعار الوقود في الولايات المتحدة خلال شتاء 2026–2027.","de":"Prozentuale EIA-Prognosen zu Heizkosten der Haushalte und Brennstoffpreisen in den USA im Winter 2026/27.","en":"EIA percentage forecasts for winter 2026–27 household heating expenses and fuel prices in the United States.","es":"Pronósticos porcentuales de la EIA sobre gastos de calefacción doméstica y precios de combustibles en EE. UU. para el invierno 2026-2027.","fr":"Prévisions de l’EIA en pourcentage sur les dépenses de chauffage des ménages et les prix des combustibles aux États-Unis pour l’hiver 2026-2027.","pt":"Previsões percentuais da EIA para despesas domésticas com aquecimento e preços de combustíveis nos EUA no inverno de 2026–27.","tr":"EIA’nın ABD’de 2026–27 kış dönemi hane ısınma harcamaları ve yakıt fiyatları için yüzde tahminleri."},"id":"eia-winter-fuel-household-cost-forecast","items":[{"basis":"forecast","label":{"ar":"التغير السنوي في إنفاق أسر زيت التدفئة لشتاء 2026–2027","de":"Jährliche Veränderung der Ausgaben von Heizölhaushalten, Winter 2026/27","en":"2026–27 winter heating-oil household spending, year-over-year change","es":"Variación interanual del gasto de hogares con fuelóleo, invierno 2026-2027","fr":"Variation annuelle des dépenses des ménages au fioul, hiver 2026-2027","pt":"Variação anual do gasto de lares com óleo de aquecimento, inverno de 2026–27","tr":"2026–27 kışında fuel-oil kullanan hanelerin harcamasında yıllık değişim"},"measure":{"aggregation":"change","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"heating-oil-household-fuel-spending-yoy","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"percent"},"period":"2027-03","periodStart":"2026-11","unit":"percent","value":21,"valueQualifier":"approximate"},{"basis":"forecast","label":{"ar":"الزيادة السنوية في سعر زيت التدفئة لشتاء 2026–2027","de":"Jährlicher Heizölpreisanstieg, Winter 2026/27","en":"2026–27 winter heating-oil price, year-over-year increase","es":"Aumento interanual del precio del fuelóleo, invierno 2026-2027","fr":"Hausse annuelle du prix du fioul, hiver 2026-2027","pt":"Aumento anual do preço do óleo de aquecimento, inverno de 2026–27","tr":"2026–27 kışında fuel-oil fiyatının yıllık artışı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"change","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"heating-oil-price-yoy","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"percent"},"period":"2027-03","periodStart":"2026-11","unit":"percent","value":30,"valueQualifier":"lower-bound"},{"basis":"estimate","label":{"ar":"حصة الأسر الأميركية التي تستخدم زيت التدفئة أساساً","de":"Anteil der US-Haushalte mit überwiegender Heizölnutzung","en":"Share of U.S. households primarily using heating oil","es":"Proporción de hogares de EE. UU. que usan principalmente fuelóleo","fr":"Part des ménages américains se chauffant principalement au fioul","pt":"Parcela de lares dos EUA que usam principalmente óleo de aquecimento","tr":"Başlıca fuel-oil kullanan ABD hanelerinin payı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"rate","frequency":"irregular","geography":"united-states","id":"us-heating-oil-household-share","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"percent"},"period":"2026-10","unit":"percent","value":3,"valueQualifier":"approximate"}],"methodology":{"ar":"توقعات إدارة معلومات الطاقة الصادرة في 6 أكتوبر 2026. تغطي تقديرات الشتاء نوفمبر 2026 إلى مارس 2027، وتقارن التغيرات بالشتاء السابق. وتشير حصة الأسر البالغة نحو 3% إلى توقعات أكتوبر 2026. تعتمد النفقات على الطقس واستخدام الوقود.","de":"EIA-Prognosen vom 6. Oktober 2026. Die Winterperiode umfasst November 2026 bis März 2027; Veränderungen beziehen sich auf den vorherigen Winter. Der Haushaltsanteil von rund 3% gehört zum Ausblick vom Oktober 2026. Ausgaben hängen von Wetter und Brennstoffverbrauch ab.","en":"EIA forecasts released October 6, 2026. Winter estimates cover November 2026–March 2027 and changes compare with the previous winter. The approximately 3% household share refers to the October 2026 outlook. Expenditures depend on weather and fuel use.","es":"Pronósticos de la EIA publicados el 6 de octubre de 2026. El invierno abarca noviembre de 2026 a marzo de 2027 y los cambios se comparan con el invierno anterior. La proporción aproximada del 3% de hogares corresponde a la perspectiva de octubre de 2026. El gasto depende del clima y del uso de combustible.","fr":"Prévisions de l’EIA publiées le 6 octobre 2026. La période hivernale couvre novembre 2026 à mars 2027, avec des variations par rapport à l’hiver précédent. La part d’environ 3% des ménages se rapporte aux perspectives d’octobre 2026. Les dépenses dépendent de la météo et de l’usage des combustibles.","pt":"Previsões da EIA divulgadas em 6 de outubro de 2026. O inverno abrange novembro de 2026 a março de 2027, com variações em relação ao inverno anterior. A parcela aproximada de 3% dos lares refere-se à perspectiva de outubro de 2026. As despesas dependem do clima e do uso de combustível.","tr":"EIA’nın 6 Ekim 2026 tarihli açıklaması ve kış raporundaki tahminler. Kış tahmin dönemi Kasım 2026–Mart 2027’dir; değişimler önceki kışa göredir. Yaklaşık %3’lük hane payı Ekim 2026 görünümüne aittir. Harcamalar hava koşulları ve yakıt kullanımına bağlıdır."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press593.php","https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2026/10-winterfuels/article.php"],"title":{"ar":"توقعات تكاليف وقود الأسر في الشتاء","de":"Ausblick auf winterliche Energiekosten für Haushalte","en":"Winter household fuel-cost outlook","es":"Perspectiva de costos energéticos domésticos en invierno","fr":"Perspectives sur les coûts énergétiques des ménages en hiver","pt":"Perspectiva dos custos de energia doméstica no inverno","tr":"Kış dönemi hane yakıt maliyeti görünümü"},"type":"metrics","updatedAt":"2026-10-07T09:15:52Z"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026/data/eia-winter-fuel-household-cost-forecast?lang=pt&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026/data/eia-winter-fuel-household-cost-forecast?lang=pt&format=json"},"id":"eia-winter-fuel-household-cost-forecast"}],"data_types":["metrics"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Ilustração conceitual da infraestrutura de petróleo e gás e fluxos de informações.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-oil-gas","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"pt","scope":"topic","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/oil-gas-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"event_id":"event-d9681251-8bfe-5398-bb43-17233dd25d6b","event_period":"2026-10-06","event_period_basis":"event-or-reference-period","id":"eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026","image":null,"importance":0.6,"language":"pt","modified_at":"2026-10-07T12:59:35+00:00","publication_basis":"publication-record","published_at":"2026-10-07T12:59:35+00:00","reading_minutes":1,"region":"world","section_illustration":{"alt":"Ilustração conceitual de geração de eletricidade, armazenamento e dados conectados.","asset_id":"newsverum-v1-energy","avif_variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-480.avif","width":480},{"height":480,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-720.avif","width":720},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-960.avif","width":960},{"height":800,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-1200.avif","width":1200},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-1536.avif","width":1536}],"credit":"Newsverum","documentary":false,"height":1024,"kind":"symbolic-editorial-illustration","language":"pt","scope":"section","url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-1536.webp","variants":[{"height":320,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-480.webp","width":480},{"height":640,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-960.webp","width":960},{"height":1024,"url":"https://newsverum.com/assets/newsverum/illustrations/v1/energy-1536.webp","width":1536}],"width":1536},"slug":"eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026","sources":[{"checkedAt":"2026-10-07","name":"U.S. Energy Information Administration","publishedAt":"2026-10-06","url":"https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/releases/press593.php"},{"checkedAt":"2026-10-07","name":"U.S. Energy Information Administration — Winter Fuels Outlook 2026–27","publishedAt":"2026-10-06","url":"https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/perspectives/2026/10-winterfuels/article.php"}],"summary":"A agência espera menor gasto nas casas que usam gás e propano, enquanto o óleo de aquecimento deve registrar o maior aumento.","text":"A agência espera menor gasto nas casas que usam gás e propano, enquanto o óleo de aquecimento deve registrar o maior aumento.\n\nA Administração de Informação de Energia dos Estados Unidos espera que os lares que aquecem principalmente com gás natural ou propano — cerca de metade das residências do país — gastem menos com esses combustíveis neste inverno do que no ano passado. Na perspectiva de 6 de outubro, a agência projetou aumento de aproximadamente 21% nos gastos com combustível das casas que usam óleo de aquecimento, parcialmente compensado pelo clima mais ameno esperado no Nordeste, onde se concentra a maioria delas.\n\nA EIA prevê que os lares que dependem sobretudo de eletricidade ou óleo de aquecimento gastem mais no total com aquecimento. A agência projeta alta superior a 30% no preço do óleo de aquecimento em relação ao ano anterior; essas casas representam cerca de 3% dos lares dos EUA. As projeções pressupõem temperaturas nacionais de inverno próximas às do ano passado e à média dos dez invernos anteriores; condições diferentes alterariam demanda e custos.","title":"EIA prevê contas de inverno mais altas para casas com óleo de aquecimento e eletricidade","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/eia-winter-heating-costs-outlook-2026"},"version":"1"}