{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks","available_at":"2026-10-16T10:37:00.560287Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"ec1f3e7ffbd07865bcdc802f140f260ca4cc0694ad8e72de73c9e24d2bdb5d71","input_sha256":"ffdf9175674883fedd3cd1cff9b8c4439b4611226a2318934245ba59c04aa4d0","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. 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Pour les variations sur six mois dans 14 économies étrangères avancées, ils obtiennent une pente de tendance de 0,97 et une corrélation de 0,79; sur quatre ans, la pente est de 0,78 et la corrélation reste de 0,78.","Les auteurs relient la persistance de cette relation sur quatre ans au puzzle de la parité de pouvoir d’achat. Ils estiment que les résultats sont compatibles avec un rôle plus important des chocs financiers que des chocs monétaires dans les mouvements de change. L’indice du Big Mac reste un indicateur illustratif fondé sur un seul produit; l’analyse des politiques utilise des indices de prix plus larges et des paniers de devises officiels."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"US","data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"ar":"إحصاءات تحركات أسعار الصرف في 14 اقتصاداً متقدماً وفق تحليل الباحثين.","de":"Wechselkursstatistiken aus 14 fortgeschrittenen Volkswirtschaften laut Analyse der Autoren.","en":"Exchange-rate statistics across 14 advanced economies, as analyzed by the authors.","es":"Estadísticas de variaciones cambiarias en 14 economías avanzadas, según el análisis de los autores.","fr":"Statistiques des variations de change dans 14 économies avancées selon l’analyse des auteurs.","pt":"Estatísticas de variações cambiais em 14 economias avançadas, segundo análise dos autores.","tr":"14 gelişmiş ekonomide kur değişimi istatistikleri; yazarların analizi."},"id":"research-findings","items":[{"date":"2026-10-15","description":{"ar":"فترة ستة أشهر: الميل 0.97 والارتباط 0.79؛ فترة أربع سنوات: الميل والارتباط 0.78.","de":"Sechsmonatszeitraum: Steigung 0,97 und Korrelation 0,79; Vierjahreszeitraum: Steigung und Korrelation 0,78.","en":"Six-month period: slope 0.97 and correlation 0.79; four-year period: slope and correlation 0.78.","es":"Periodo de seis meses: pendiente de 0,97 y correlación de 0,79; periodo de cuatro años: pendiente y correlación de 0,78.","fr":"Période de six mois : pente de 0,97 et corrélation de 0,79; période de quatre ans : pente et corrélation de 0,78.","pt":"Período de seis meses: inclinação de 0,97 e correlação de 0,79; período de quatro anos: inclinação e correlação de 0,78.","tr":"Altı aylık dönem: eğim 0,97 ve korelasyon 0,79; dört yıllık dönem: eğim ve korelasyon 0,78."},"label":{"ar":"نتائج بحث بنك دالاس الفيدرالي","de":"Forschungsergebnisse der Dallas Fed","en":"Dallas Fed research findings","es":"Resultados de investigación de la Fed de Dallas","fr":"Résultats de recherche de la Dallas Fed","pt":"Resultados de pesquisa da Fed de Dallas","tr":"Dallas Fed araştırma bulguları"},"status":"occurred"}],"methodology":{"ar":"الإحصاءات هي الميول والارتباطات الواردة في مقال باحثي بنك دالاس؛ وهي نتائج الدراسة وليست توقعاً مستقلاً.","de":"Die Statistiken sind Steigungen und Korrelationen aus dem Artikel der Dallas-Fed-Autoren; es handelt sich um deren Ergebnisse, nicht um eine unabhängige Prognose.","en":"Statistics are slopes and correlations reported in the Dallas Fed authors’ article; they are the authors’ findings, not an independent forecast.","es":"Las estadísticas son pendientes y correlaciones informadas en el artículo de los autores de la Fed de Dallas; son resultados del estudio, no una previsión independiente.","fr":"Les statistiques sont les pentes et corrélations rapportées dans l’article des auteurs de la Dallas Fed; ce sont leurs résultats, non une prévision indépendante.","pt":"As estatísticas são inclinações e correlações relatadas no artigo dos autores da Fed de Dallas; são resultados do estudo, não uma previsão independente.","tr":"İstatistikler Dallas Fed yazarlarının makalesinde bildirilen eğim ve korelasyonlardır; çalışma yazarlarının bulguları olup bağımsız bir tahmin değildir."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"],"title":{"ar":"العلاقة بين أسعار الصرف الحقيقية والاسمية وفق مؤشر بيغ ماك","de":"Zusammenhang realer und nominaler Kurse nach dem Big-Mac-Maß","en":"Big Mac-based real and nominal exchange-rate relationship","es":"Relación entre tipos reales y nominales según el Big Mac","fr":"Relation entre taux réels et nominaux selon le Big Mac","pt":"Relação entre taxas reais e nominais segundo o Big Mac","tr":"Big Mac temelli reel ve nominal kur ilişkisi"},"type":"events","updatedAt":"2026-10-16T10:20:41+00:00"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks/data/research-findings?lang=fr&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks/data/research-findings?lang=fr&format=json"},"id":"research-findings"}],"data_types":["events"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Illustration conceptuelle de l’économie mondiale et des échanges 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Reserve Bank of Dallas","publishedAt":"2026-10-15","url":"https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"}],"summary":"Les auteurs de la Dallas Fed indiquent que les taux de change réels fondés sur le Big Mac restent fortement corrélés aux taux nominaux sur de longues périodes.","text":"Les auteurs de la Dallas Fed indiquent que les taux de change réels fondés sur le Big Mac restent fortement corrélés aux taux nominaux sur de longues périodes.\n\nLes chercheurs de la Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Scott Davis, Ben Kim et Andrei Zlate ont étudié les mouvements des taux de change réels et nominaux à partir des prix du Big Mac, dans un article publié le 15 octobre. Pour les variations sur six mois dans 14 économies étrangères avancées, ils obtiennent une pente de tendance de 0,97 et une corrélation de 0,79; sur quatre ans, la pente est de 0,78 et la corrélation reste de 0,78.\n\nLes auteurs relient la persistance de cette relation sur quatre ans au puzzle de la parité de pouvoir d’achat. Ils estiment que les résultats sont compatibles avec un rôle plus important des chocs financiers que des chocs monétaires dans les mouvements de change. L’indice du Big Mac reste un indicateur illustratif fondé sur un seul produit; l’analyse des politiques utilise des indices de prix plus larges et des paniers de devises officiels.","title":"Dallas Fed : les prix du Big Mac suivent les mouvements de change dans la durée","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},"version":"1"}