{"article":{"annotation":{"article_id":"dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks","available_at":"2026-10-16T10:37:00.560287Z","geography_revision":"ef6ee0010dda5fe7b240fd514749b43e214c57da73222d2e40ec83b276dd0977","id":"ec1f3e7ffbd07865bcdc802f140f260ca4cc0694ad8e72de73c9e24d2bdb5d71","input_sha256":"ffdf9175674883fedd3cd1cff9b8c4439b4611226a2318934245ba59c04aa4d0","limitations":["Rule-derived subjects are candidates, not verified editorial labels or calibrated model probabilities.","Coverage is distinct from event location. Unknown country/city/coordinates remain absent; no automatic geocoding.","Article geometries keep their stated precision and methodology; reproducing them is not independent coordinate verification."],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","places":[{"admin1":null,"city":null,"coordinate_note":null,"coordinate_reference_system":"OGC:CRS84","coordinate_source":null,"country":"US","evidence":[{"field":"country","language":"en","note":"Explicit preserved editorial country/region; no city or national centroid inferred","source_urls":["https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"]}],"geometry":null,"id":"iso3166-1:US","kind":"country-or-area","labels":{"ar":"الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية","en":"United States of America","es":"Estados Unidos de América","fr":"États-Unis d’Amérique"},"match_status":"candidate","precision":"regional","role":"coverage","uncertainty_m":null}],"rules_sha256":"fb5ad3c27c91cb840f7a0a05f7f64a5cb26ad0374409ff9457f277c7092e22b4","schema_version":1,"subjects":[{"concept_id":"medtop:20000344","confidence":null,"confidence_method":null,"evidence":[{"field":"category+topics","language":"en","note":"Preserved editorial category/topic; broad candidate only","source_urls":["https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"]}],"method":"controlled-rules-v1","rule_id":"economy-broad","status":"candidate"}],"taxonomy_revision":"1f2db31d811fca07e99b16d402c10e2cc2965c9df1c7b41d9be348b40a24e7fb","taxonomy_version":"IPTC Media Topics 2026-Q2"},"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=es","category":"economy","content":{"key_points":[],"paragraphs":["Los investigadores de la Reserva Federal de Dallas Scott Davis, Ben Kim y Andrei Zlate analizaron cómo evolucionan juntos los tipos de cambio reales y nominales usando precios del Big Mac, en un artículo publicado el 15 de octubre. Para variaciones de seis meses en 14 economías extranjeras avanzadas, informan una pendiente de tendencia de 0,97 y una correlación de 0,79; para cambios de cuatro años, la pendiente fue de 0,78 y la correlación siguió en 0,78.","Los autores relacionan la persistencia de esta relación durante cuatro años con el enigma de la paridad del poder adquisitivo. Señalan que los resultados concuerdan con un mayor papel de las perturbaciones financieras que de las monetarias en los movimientos cambiarios. El índice Big Mac es un indicador ilustrativo de un solo producto; para el análisis de políticas se usan índices de precios más amplios y cestas oficiales de divisas."],"sections":[]},"corrections":[],"country":"US","data":{"blocks":[{"description":{"ar":"إحصاءات تحركات أسعار الصرف في 14 اقتصاداً متقدماً وفق تحليل الباحثين.","de":"Wechselkursstatistiken aus 14 fortgeschrittenen Volkswirtschaften laut Analyse der Autoren.","en":"Exchange-rate statistics across 14 advanced economies, as analyzed by the authors.","es":"Estadísticas de variaciones cambiarias en 14 economías avanzadas, según el análisis de los autores.","fr":"Statistiques des variations de change dans 14 économies avancées selon l’analyse des auteurs.","pt":"Estatísticas de variações cambiais em 14 economias avançadas, segundo análise dos autores.","tr":"14 gelişmiş ekonomide kur değişimi istatistikleri; yazarların analizi."},"id":"research-findings","items":[{"date":"2026-10-15","description":{"ar":"فترة ستة أشهر: الميل 0.97 والارتباط 0.79؛ فترة أربع سنوات: الميل والارتباط 0.78.","de":"Sechsmonatszeitraum: Steigung 0,97 und Korrelation 0,79; Vierjahreszeitraum: Steigung und Korrelation 0,78.","en":"Six-month period: slope 0.97 and correlation 0.79; four-year period: slope and correlation 0.78.","es":"Periodo de seis meses: pendiente de 0,97 y correlación de 0,79; periodo de cuatro años: pendiente y correlación de 0,78.","fr":"Période de six mois : pente de 0,97 et corrélation de 0,79; période de quatre ans : pente et corrélation de 0,78.","pt":"Período de seis meses: inclinação de 0,97 e correlação de 0,79; período de quatro anos: inclinação e correlação de 0,78.","tr":"Altı aylık dönem: eğim 0,97 ve korelasyon 0,79; dört yıllık dönem: eğim ve korelasyon 0,78."},"label":{"ar":"نتائج بحث بنك دالاس الفيدرالي","de":"Forschungsergebnisse der Dallas Fed","en":"Dallas Fed research findings","es":"Resultados de investigación de la Fed de Dallas","fr":"Résultats de recherche de la Dallas Fed","pt":"Resultados de pesquisa da Fed de Dallas","tr":"Dallas Fed araştırma bulguları"},"status":"occurred"}],"methodology":{"ar":"الإحصاءات هي الميول والارتباطات الواردة في مقال باحثي بنك دالاس؛ وهي نتائج الدراسة وليست توقعاً مستقلاً.","de":"Die Statistiken sind Steigungen und Korrelationen aus dem Artikel der Dallas-Fed-Autoren; es handelt sich um deren Ergebnisse, nicht um eine unabhängige Prognose.","en":"Statistics are slopes and correlations reported in the Dallas Fed authors’ article; they are the authors’ findings, not an independent forecast.","es":"Las estadísticas son pendientes y correlaciones informadas en el artículo de los autores de la Fed de Dallas; son resultados del estudio, no una previsión independiente.","fr":"Les statistiques sont les pentes et corrélations rapportées dans l’article des auteurs de la Dallas Fed; ce sont leurs résultats, non une prévision indépendante.","pt":"As estatísticas são inclinações e correlações relatadas no artigo dos autores da Fed de Dallas; são resultados do estudo, não uma previsão independente.","tr":"İstatistikler Dallas Fed yazarlarının makalesinde bildirilen eğim ve korelasyonlardır; çalışma yazarlarının bulguları olup bağımsız bir tahmin değildir."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"],"title":{"ar":"العلاقة بين أسعار الصرف الحقيقية والاسمية وفق مؤشر بيغ ماك","de":"Zusammenhang realer und nominaler Kurse nach dem Big-Mac-Maß","en":"Big Mac-based real and nominal exchange-rate relationship","es":"Relación entre tipos reales y nominales según el Big Mac","fr":"Relation entre taux réels et nominaux selon le Big Mac","pt":"Relação entre taxas reais e nominais segundo o Big Mac","tr":"Big Mac temelli reel ve nominal kur ilişkisi"},"type":"events","updatedAt":"2026-10-16T10:20:41+00:00"}],"version":1},"data_downloads":[{"formats":{"csv":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks/data/research-findings?lang=es&format=csv","json":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks/data/research-findings?lang=es&format=json"},"id":"research-findings"}],"data_types":["events"],"editorial_illustration":{"alt":"Ilustración conceptual de la economía mundial y las conexiones 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Reserve Bank of Dallas","publishedAt":"2026-10-15","url":"https://www.dallasfed.org/research/economics/2026/1015"}],"summary":"Los autores de la Fed de Dallas señalan que los tipos reales basados en el Big Mac siguen muy correlacionados con los nominales durante largos periodos.","text":"Los autores de la Fed de Dallas señalan que los tipos reales basados en el Big Mac siguen muy correlacionados con los nominales durante largos periodos.\n\nLos investigadores de la Reserva Federal de Dallas Scott Davis, Ben Kim y Andrei Zlate analizaron cómo evolucionan juntos los tipos de cambio reales y nominales usando precios del Big Mac, en un artículo publicado el 15 de octubre. Para variaciones de seis meses en 14 economías extranjeras avanzadas, informan una pendiente de tendencia de 0,97 y una correlación de 0,79; para cambios de cuatro años, la pendiente fue de 0,78 y la correlación siguió en 0,78.\n\nLos autores relacionan la persistencia de esta relación durante cuatro años con el enigma de la paridad del poder adquisitivo. Señalan que los resultados concuerdan con un mayor papel de las perturbaciones financieras que de las monetarias en los movimientos cambiarios. El índice Big Mac es un indicador ilustrativo de un solo producto; para el análisis de políticas se usan índices de precios más amplios y cestas oficiales de divisas.","title":"Fed de Dallas: los precios del Big Mac siguen los movimientos cambiarios a largo plazo","topics":[],"translations":[{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=tr","language":"tr","url":"https://newsverum.com/tr/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=en","language":"en","url":"https://newsverum.com/en/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=ar","language":"ar","url":"https://newsverum.com/ar/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=fr","language":"fr","url":"https://newsverum.com/fr/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=es","language":"es","url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=de","language":"de","url":"https://newsverum.com/de/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},{"api_url":"https://newsverum.com/api/v1/articles/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks?lang=pt","language":"pt","url":"https://newsverum.com/pt/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"}],"url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/dallas-fed-big-mac-prices-exchange-rates-financial-shocks"},"version":"1"}