{"article_url":"https://newsverum.com/es/news/brazil-el-nino-october-december-climate-outlook-2026","block":{"description":{"ar":"توقعات الأمطار وتصنيف الجفاف لدى Cemaden.","de":"Niederschlagsausblick des Panels und Dürreklassifizierung von Cemaden.","en":"Panel rainfall outlook and Cemaden drought classification.","es":"Previsión de lluvia y clasificación de sequía de Cemaden.","fr":"Prévisions de pluie et classification de sécheresse de Cemaden.","pt":"Perspectiva de chuva do painel e classificação de seca do Cemaden.","tr":"Panelin bölgesel yağış tahmini ve Cemaden kuraklık sınıflaması."},"id":"brazil-el-nino-figures","items":[{"basis":"observed","label":{"ar":"البلديات ضمن الجفاف الشديد","de":"Gemeinden mit schwerer Dürre","en":"Municipalities in severe drought","es":"Municipios en sequía severa","fr":"Municipalités en sécheresse sévère","pt":"Municípios em seca severa","tr":"Şiddetli kuraklık yaşayan belediyeler"},"measure":{"aggregation":"stock","frequency":"monthly","geography":"brazil","id":"brazil-municipalities-severe-drought","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"count"},"period":"2026-09","unit":"count","value":197},{"basis":"observed","label":{"ar":"بلديات الجفاف الشديد في الشهر السابق","de":"Gemeinden mit schwerer Dürre im Vormonat","en":"Previous-month municipalities in severe drought","es":"Municipios en sequía severa el mes anterior","fr":"Municipalités en sécheresse sévère le mois précédent","pt":"Municípios em seca severa no mês anterior","tr":"Önceki ay şiddetli kuraklık yaşayan belediyeler"},"measure":{"aggregation":"stock","frequency":"monthly","geography":"brazil","id":"brazil-municipalities-severe-drought","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"count"},"period":"2026-08","unit":"count","value":153},{"basis":"forecast","label":{"ar":"احتمال حدث شديد جداً","de":"Wahrscheinlichkeit eines sehr starken Ereignisses","en":"Probability of very strong event","es":"Probabilidad de evento muy fuerte","fr":"Probabilité d’un événement très intense","pt":"Probabilidade de evento muito forte","tr":"Çok güçlü olay olasılığı"},"measure":{"aggregation":"rate","frequency":"irregular","geography":"brazil","id":"brazil-very-strong-el-nino-probability","periodRole":"reference-period","unitCode":"percent"},"period":"2026-10","unit":"%","value":95,"valueQualifier":"lower-bound"}],"methodology":{"ar":"أكثر من 95% هو احتمال النماذج الذي أورده الفريق لحدوث إل نينيو شديد جداً؛ وأعداد البلديات من بيانات Cemaden الجزئية لشهر سبتمبر.","de":"Mehr als 95 % ist die vom Panel angegebene modellierte Wahrscheinlichkeit für ein sehr starkes El-Niño-Ereignis; die Gemeindezahlen stammen aus der teilweisen Überwachung von Cemaden im September.","en":"Above 95% is the panel’s reported modeled probability for a very strong El Niño; municipality counts are from Cemaden’s partial September monitoring.","es":"Más del 95% es la probabilidad modelada citada para un El Niño muy fuerte; el recuento municipal procede del monitoreo parcial de septiembre de Cemaden.","fr":"Plus de 95 % correspond à la probabilité modélisée citée pour un El Niño très intense ; les nombres de municipalités proviennent du suivi partiel de septembre de Cemaden.","pt":"Acima de 95% é a probabilidade modelada informada pelo painel para um El Niño muito forte; os números de municípios vêm do monitoramento parcial de setembro do Cemaden.","tr":"Yüzde 95 üzeri, çok güçlü El Niño için panelin aktardığı model olasılığıdır; belediye sayıları Cemaden’in kısmi Eylül izleme verileridir."},"sourceUrls":["https://www.gov.br/cemaden/pt-br/assuntos/monitoramento/el-nino/boletim-do-painel-el-nino-ndeg-04-setembro-de-2026-potenciais-impactos-e-orientacoes"],"title":{"ar":"مؤشرات لوحة إل نينيو","de":"Indikatoren des El-Niño-Panels","en":"Indicators in the El Niño Panel","es":"Indicadores del Panel El Niño","fr":"Indicateurs du Panel El Niño","pt":"Indicadores do Painel El Niño","tr":"El Niño panelinin göstergeleri"},"type":"metrics","updatedAt":"2026-10-07T00:48:44+03:00"},"version":1}